In April, October and November, the volume of transactions increased sharply, which was close to the volume of the bull market in 2015, indicating that a large number of off-exchange funds entered the market, and the volume increased in price, and then rose.Ordinary retail investors want to make money in the stock market. To put it bluntly, it is time for space. Insist on buying high-quality assets in batches in the extremely undervalued range to ensure that the purchase cost is lower than the intrinsic value, then ignore short-term fluctuations and wait for the value to return until the stock price is significantly higher than the intrinsic value. After thinking about this, in fact, many seemingly complicated problems will be much simpler.Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:
Before September, the market has always been a high dividend for defense and hedging, and the market is specially estimated. The incremental fund is the national team; Since the end of September, the market has been the mainstream theme, with low price and small ticket style. The incremental funds are new investors entering the market and old investors recharging.In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.Now the national policy is obvious, that is, to build a financial power and do a good job in the stock market. This is the general trend. If you deny this, then don't speculate. Technical analysis is icing on the cake, and it won't be a gift in the snow. Therefore, it is reasonable to say that the role of technical analysis is only 20% whether stock trading makes money.
The general direction is that the country wants the stock market to be bullish, so can it be proved technically? Among many technical analysis indicators, I only look at four indicators: K-line, MA, MACD and volume, and I must use long-term indicators to judge the general direction, that is, monthly and quarterly indicators.According to the market style rotation in the first half of the year, the non-mainstream styles are short-lived rotation. In the first half of the year, the mainstream dividend was high, and it was a new low after the rapid rotation of other industries. Now, the same high dividend is not cost-effective. After the rapid rotation, the market opportunity will still be the mainstream theme, low price and small ticket style. This is the decision of incremental funds, and incremental funds will definitely not engage in high-ranking institutions and the direction of the national team's heavy position.3. Robots constantly produce new catalysis.